Friday, October 28, 2016

PROJECT UAS PENGANGGARAN

Posted by . at 6:05 AM
Teh Racek
Data Penjualan Lemon Tea
Januari – Oktober 2016
Bulan
S
Harga
K
Harga
y
x
x.y
X2
X4
X2.y
Januari
45
6000
24
5000
69
-9
-621
81
6561
5589
Februari
30
6000
2
5000
32
-7
-224
49
2401
1568
Maret
48
6000
18
5000
66
-5
-330
25
625
1650
April
48
6000
14
5000
62
-3
-186
9
81
558
Mei
63
6000
14
5000
77
-1
-77
1
1
77
Juni
48
6000
14
5000
62
1
62
1
1
62
Juli
35
6000
3
5000
38
3
114
9
81
342
Agustus
55
6000
13
5000
68
5
340
25
625
1700
September
87
6000
27
5000
114
7
798
49
2401
5586
Oktober
62
6000
12
5000
74
9
666
81
6561
5994




662

542
330
19338
23126


TREND GARIS LENGKUNG = 0

Ø  Mencari Nilai a & c => Cara Eliminasi
Ø  Mencari nilai b :
Nilai C :
662      = 10a + 330c    (x33)
23.126             = 330a + 19.338c
21.846             = 330a + 10.890c
23.126             = 330a + 19.338c
-1.280 = -8.448c
C          = -1.280/-8.448
C          = 0,15

Nilai a :
662      = 10a + 330c    (x58,6)
23.126 = 330a + 19.338c
38.793 = 586a + 19.338c
23.126 = 330a + 19.338c
15.667 = 256a
a          = 61


Nilai b :
542/330 = 1,64 atau 2

RAMALAN PENJUALAN 
Bulan November - April 2017
Ø  Y November         = a + bx + c (x2)
                                    = 61 + 2(11)+ 0,15(112)
                                    = 61 + 22 + 18
                                    = 101 Cup 
Ø  Y Desember           = a + bx + c (x2)
= 61 + 2(13) + 0,15(132)
= 61 + 26 + 25
= 112 Cup
Ø  YJanuari                 = a + bx + c (x2)
                                    = 61 + 2(15)+ 0,15(152)
                                    = 61 + 30 + 34
                                    = 125 Cup
Ø  YFebruari         = a + bx + c (x2)
                                    = 61 + 2(17)+ 0,15(172)
                                    = 61 + 34 + 43
                                    = 138 Cup
Ø  YMaret                  = a + bx + c (x2)
                                    = 61 + 2(19)+ 0,15(192)
                                    = 61 + 38 + 54
                                    = 153 Cup
Ø  YApril                    = a + bx + c (x2)
                                    = 61 + 2(21)+ 0,15(212)
                                    = 61 + 42 + 66
                                    = 169 Cup


X
Y
Januari
69
Februari
32
Maret
66
April
62
Mei
77
Juni
62
Juli
38
Agustus
68
September
114
Oktober
74
November
101
Desember
112
Januari
125
Februari
138
GRAFIK RAMALAN PENJUALAN










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